23.10.2012, 10:40 10377

S&P puts stable outlook on Temirbank

"Given the amount of problem loans the bank has, we expect nonperforming loans to decline only gradually over the next 12 months," S&P says in a press release.

Almaty. October 23. Kazakhstan Today - Standard & Poor's Ratings Services' stable outlook on Kazakhstan-based Temirbank JSC reflects its view that Kazakhstan's government will continue to provide support to the bank as it cleans its loan book and diversifies its funding base.

"Given the amount of problem loans the bank has, we expect nonperforming loans to decline only gradually over the next 12 months," S&P says in a press release.

"If we perceived that the government's stance toward the bank were no longer consistent with a "moderately" likelihood of support, we would remove the one notch of uplift that we currently factor into the ratings. We could also consider lowering the ratings if we observed further deterioration in asset quality over the next 12 months. This could happen if the quality of newly originated loans were weak, reflecting relaxed underwriting practices. At the same time, a potential merger with weaker Alliance Bank JSC (B-/Stable/C; Kazakhstan national scale 'kzBB-') could worsen the risk profile of the newly formed entity. However, we see this merger as a long-term process and don't currently factor its impact into our ratings and outlook on Temirbank," the press release reads.

"We could raise the ratings if Temirbank demonstrated a significant and sustainable improvement in asset quality, with a material reduction in problematic assets in absolute terms, which would improve its risk position. An improvement in capitalization, with the risk-adjusted capital ratio rising higher than 10% could also be positive for the ratings," S&P reports.

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